Predictable Chaos

Pubblicato il 28 nov 2021
visualizzazioni 8 615 458
0

I show you how we predict chaos

see the full video here: itload.info/losk/aKu5zoGK17mae6w/video

Subscribe to my main channel here: itload.info/tost/A19.html...

Scienze e tecnologie

Action Lab Shorts
Action Lab Shorts
Commenti: 2 790  
  • naba

    naba

    Mese fa

    I always keep my hopes up for learning something new and interesting with his shorts and they don't disappoint

    • Phantomface Final

      Phantomface Final

      8 giorni fa

      I don’t get my hopes up but I keep an open mind. Sure you right

    • JellyCORE

      JellyCORE

      19 giorni fa

      Aww, yeah, agreed, I getcha! ^^

    • Julia j.

      Julia j.

      22 giorni fa

      @Cole Carmichael 😬

    • Cole Carmichael

      Cole Carmichael

      22 giorni fa

      This is math bro pay attention in school not ITload. He is literally just explaining if something happens and it happens enough we can calculate results 🥲 this isn’t brain surgery

    • Crystal Dragon

      Crystal Dragon

      Mese fa

      He's the only person making shorts right now that I don't hesitate to watch for exactly this reason.

  • MrInsanityCalls

    MrInsanityCalls

    Mese fa

    This sounds like how the Antagonist explains how “Good” a little Chaos might be😂

    • NobodyWatchesNooby

      NobodyWatchesNooby

      7 giorni fa

      Senator Armstrong approves

    • Al B Dough

      Al B Dough

      16 giorni fa

      @Demi-Joker Sans sentient life nothing is inherently good, bad, or anything. There are no value systems of any kind whatsoever in nature. But such conversations get very pretentious very quickly.

    • Demi-Joker

      Demi-Joker

      17 giorni fa

      You must've accidentally added quotations. Chaos is not inherently bad, nor good. Same goes with order.

    • Al B Dough

      Al B Dough

      27 giorni fa

      @Eamon Noel Murphy Semantics

    • Melcavic42

      Melcavic42

      29 giorni fa

      ... little finger... claps

  • Gabriel Fraser

    Gabriel Fraser

    Mese fa

    The ball thing is pretty straightforward - at each barrier, a ball can go either left or right - it's just like flipping a coin. Most balls will have a roughly equal number of lefts and rights, not deviating too far in either direction. This basically maps the distribution you would find from flipping coins.

    • JONATHAN HOFFMAN

      JONATHAN HOFFMAN

      6 giorni fa

      Thanks for putting that into to words for us.

    • Bryan Wagner

      Bryan Wagner

      Mese fa

      @Lazy Ro by probability of the sequence. 10 heads is in the tail of the distribution.

    • fishfeeder

      fishfeeder

      Mese fa

      @newbie exactly

    • Sharpnova

      Sharpnova

      Mese fa

      @Lazy Ro because the sum of uniform flat distributions approaches a normal distribution

    • Robert Miles

      Robert Miles

      Mese fa

      @Lazy Ro each time a ball reaches a pin on the way down, it flips the coin again. A sequential series of coin flips for each ball, for a guassian distribution of coin flip scores.

  • Hughs R

    Hughs R

    Mese fa

    This remains me of Foundation by Isaac Asimov. Anyone that hasn’t read it really should.
    It’s basically a guy that invented a field of study that can predict the future due to human actions being predictable (until they aren’t, but it works like a charm in the first hundred+ years).

    • christina kuba

      christina kuba

      15 giorni fa

      @Sami Ullah it’s Foundation the series on Apple TV+

    • Think 2 Invest

      Think 2 Invest

      17 giorni fa

      It's probably where he got his inspiration from. A similar theme is in Dune with the God Emperor using fundamental psihological forces on large numbers of people to bouth influence and predict future outcomes. 4000 years of tyranny to trigger the desire for the greatest expansion of humans in the universe.

    • madi makes

      madi makes

      19 giorni fa

      Yes the greatest and fun and thought influencing series I’ve ever read

    • Max Spechter

      Max Spechter

      28 giorni fa

      @Utherellus although plot wise it's become a pretty far cry from the source, but such is the destiny of most adaptations to the screen

    • Autistic Corvid Kenku

      Autistic Corvid Kenku

      Mese fa

      @Sami Ullah psycho pass

  • Jared F

    Jared F

    Mese fa

    This is what the Foundation series by Issac Asimov is about. Main character predicts the fall of the galactic empire and since it can't be stopped, the plan to collect all the knowledge available to allow it to reform in under 1000 years instead of the 10,000 years it would take otherwise.

    • Herscher 12

      Herscher 12

      Mese fa

      @Orthjolf ? The first command was a joke based on the books

    • Orthjolf

      Orthjolf

      Mese fa

      @Herscher 12 but you feel qualified to comment on its theme?

    • penny miller

      penny miller

      Mese fa

      Love Asimov's since I was a child.thanku,I need2read that

    • Jimmy Mcgill

      Jimmy Mcgill

      Mese fa

      @Herscher 12 Mule! your welcome...😬👍🏻

    • Herscher 12

      Herscher 12

      Mese fa

      @Orthjolf im not really interrested in watching it

  • ElysianEcho

    ElysianEcho

    Mese fa

    I once had the pleasure of toying with a triple pendulum, though it didn’t have fancy lights like the double one in the video, very fascinating to watch, my first “experiment” was trying to make it repeat the same behaviour, at first it seemed very similar but the sensitivity of it was quickly apparent, that and my inability to hold an object steady and precisely haha

  • District of Merlin Official

    District of Merlin Official

    Mese fa

    The Mandelbrot set and the Gilbreath's permutations are some examples of grand display of structure form from the chaotic behavior of nature.

    In case you're interested with the Gilbreath's permutation, it is a result of a Gilbreath's card shuffle where one can predict the whole structure of the deck of card after a single riffle shuffle.
    It is widely used as a card trick to predict the sequence of the deck.

    • Yours Truly

      Yours Truly

      20 giorni fa

      That's super neat, thanks! I'm gonna go find out more about Gilbreath's permutations :)

  • BlazeNBA2K

    BlazeNBA2K

    Mese fa

    I'm too dumb to understand it but I like to play this in front of my girl to act like I'm smart..

    She saw right through it tho... She know who she chose to be with 🤣😂

    • Prime

      Prime

      22 giorni fa

      @RedX1000 WHAT?

    • Too Crowded at the Bottom

      Too Crowded at the Bottom

      Mese fa

      As someone who always grasped nearly everything scientific they’ve seen and had to hide it in school to fit in, I really do appreciate hearing about it from the opposite perspective 😂

    • Nox

      Nox

      Mese fa

      @The Bush that explains it a bit better

    • The Bush

      The Bush

      Mese fa

      @Nox basically, getting a large sample and find the average variety of that sample. Say you tested out of 100 balls, you found 60% of balls in that group of blue, red, and green are red. So out of 100 balls, around 60 of them should be red, and out of 1000 balls, around 600 of them should be red. You can even see this by dropping a bunch of cubes, even if they scatter around, most of them would land in the middle, that would be the average landing spot. So even if you drop a bigger number of cubes, most of them should still fall to the middle

    • GamesWithBrains

      GamesWithBrains

      Mese fa

      Cringee

  • Wesam Zureiqi

    Wesam Zureiqi

    Mese fa

    I remember working on designing a soccer stadium project, and we hired a Crowd Movement consultant, watching this video helped me understand some stuff they used to apply, 4 years later.
    Thanks for this fabolous content

  • nR00R

    nR00R

    Mese fa

    Ah yes, Psychohistory. The entire concept behind Asimov's Foundation series. A wonderful read for any Sci-Fi enjoyer.

    • John Smith

      John Smith

      Mese fa

      Took the words right out of my mouth

    • Chang Debbarma

      Chang Debbarma

      Mese fa

      Damn you beat me to it

    • SpeedDemonJi

      SpeedDemonJi

      Mese fa

      @nR00R didn’t ask

    • nR00R

      nR00R

      Mese fa

      @SpeedDemonJi I guess as much as I care about your opinion.

    • SpeedDemonJi

      SpeedDemonJi

      Mese fa

      @nR00R care?

  • Santalol

    Santalol

    3 giorni fa

    I had that exact same galliton board sitting on my desk last year and I had no idea what did, all I knew is that the metal beeds made a cool sound when they dropped down so I never ended up moving the board. Thanks for the explanation!

  • Vereor Nox

    Vereor Nox

    Mese fa

    I like seeing these concepts in such a digestible manner. I got through these the hard way in classical mechanics and later in quantum mechanics I and II

  • J stizzle

    J stizzle

    Mese fa

    One of your coolest and best videos yet, just imo! Thanks for all the quality shorts.

  • SailBatten

    SailBatten

    Mese fa

    I get more and more respect for Isaac Asimov's Foundation Trilogy as time goes on. The predictability of the aggregate of people was the basic theme of the book.

  • Notyet Skeletal

    Notyet Skeletal

    Mese fa

    I can predict my own reactions from past reactions. What motivates me, my usual responses. I need new input and actions and take risks to take a lest predictable path but even in saying that I already have an idea of how far out I would allow myself to reach from where I am comfortable. I have to start somewhere and push limit until they are beyond my expectations.

  • Shaurya Mehrotra

    Shaurya Mehrotra

    14 giorni fa

    This is literally how you can explain fate and I love it.

  • Oliver Polden

    Oliver Polden

    Mese fa

    The balls is very interesting. You could use this on a game show where they have balls falling through pegs. Assuming you can choose where the ball is released, you would look to each end for the highest prizes and release the ball on that edge since it essentially doubles your probability of ending up towards that end as the end acts like a mirror (assuming the design of the edges would cause it to act like a mirror of course).

  • Carlos Montes

    Carlos Montes

    Mese fa

    It's also the same in how light particles behaved in the double slit experiment and a fundamental part of quantum physics. "Where there's chaos, order must also exist."

  • Le Mason

    Le Mason

    Mese fa

    The quote for anyone who missed or wanted to memorise/reread it “Whenever a large sample of chaotic elements are taken in hand, an unsuspected and most beautiful form of regularity proves to have been latent all along”

    • Kevin George

      Kevin George

      Mese fa

      Intelligent design. FWiW

    • HOGAG

      HOGAG

      Mese fa

      We use that in machine learning

    • Sight Field

      Sight Field

      Mese fa

      Yes, until you meet any events that follow a distribution other than gaussian normal...

    • Ali Faisal

      Ali Faisal

      Mese fa

      @Mr Knarf isn’t it the same concept?

    • Joshua 38

      Joshua 38

      Mese fa

      @Max Bateman I'm interested in your train of thought too. It blows my mind that people aren't constantly talking about how the universe was created

  • bofooit gojo

    bofooit gojo

    Mese fa

    I assembled one a while back when I used to get tinker crates weekly! I had so much fun with those 😁 The double pendulum that is-

  • Kian Balatbat

    Kian Balatbat

    Mese fa

    This is why I keep saying that "random" things are, in the end, just chaotic but predictable things, provided that you know all the conditions are. But the thing that we say is the most non-random, making conscious decisions, is actually the most random because one's consciousness isn't confined by any laws whatsoever.

    • Video Guy

      Video Guy

      Mese fa

      @Anthony Polonkay The mind produces chemicals called neurotransmitters that affect our behavior. We can predict whether people will be more inclined to certain moods and behaviors based on the presence of these neurotransmitters (dating back to birth). The MAOA gene for example can predict an individual’s tendency toward violence and anger. Other features of the mind such as neuroplasticity and localization also give us information on behavior. This is all very much hereditary (rooted in the physical). Of course environment also plays a role, but this can also be studied making your point moot. The fact that you can study past human behavior to predict future human behavior proves that there are constant variables and patterns at work in behavior. Just because there are variables that are difficult to account for does not automatically mean they don’t exist (as corroborated in the above video). What you call “physical forces” is really just science. Your false assumption that the mind is not subject to scientific principle is based on the far more commonplace (and frankly more dogmatic) ideal of “free will,” which is magic, not science. Stating that human behavior is not governed by science is the claim that has no grounding in reality, and I’d ask you to prove it

    • Anthony Polonkay

      Anthony Polonkay

      Mese fa

      @Video Guy the claim that the human mind is purely governed by physical forces is not a substaintiatable one. It comes from the dogmatic materialist belief. Likewise the claim we can predict human behavious is not false but I suspect the way you mean it to be that we could potentially predict everything about anyone if we had enough information. And that is a far cry from reality. In reality you can only predict probabilities. And your only able to do so thanks to eecids of previous human behaviour. No predictions of human behaviour are made via studying physics.

    • Video Guy

      Video Guy

      Mese fa

      Incorrect. The human mind is governed by the same physical properties as every other element in nature. And we can in fact predict human behavior. Not sure where you got the idea that that isn’t the case. As stated in the video: nothing is random.

    • Prot07ype

      Prot07ype

      Mese fa

      @Nathan *Watch Kurzgesagt's video titled **_"Can You Upload Your Mind & Live Forever?"_*

    • Sukehiro

      Sukehiro

      Mese fa

      Man I've been thinking the same thing for ages now (the thought about random things). When the topic pops out people argue back like I'm crazy.

  • Dragon Slayer Slayer Dragon

    Dragon Slayer Slayer Dragon

    Mese fa

    That "Galton System" was initially confined by geometry and a finite number of variables. The only "chaos" in that system existed/will exist in the form of quantum dynamics.

  • Jazmine

    Jazmine

    Mese fa

    I love stats. I had to take a lot of stats for psychology classes in college and it was the most fascinating thing to me

  • Knight

    Knight

    Mese fa

    As a Statistics graduate, I was so happy to see the nearly perfect normal distribution of balls in each slot hahaha

    • 226butters226

      226butters226

      21 giorno fa

      @Pam Data science and analytics is booming for many industries - mainly to understand trends in the market and business growth. Also, statistics is used heavily in high volume manufacturing to characterize and control process variation (statistical process control - SPC). I worked as a process engineer for years in the semiconductor industry but now lead a team of data analysts and statistical engineers to implement new systems for SPC. Both applications, among many others are booming. Definitely recommend to get into that line of work. Also, love to flex my stat muscles on fantasy sports.. my true love

    • Pam

      Pam

      Mese fa

      What kind of job does a statistics Graduate get? Asking for a friend 😶

    • Sakari Happonen

      Sakari Happonen

      Mese fa

      following

    • Anafyral Weyferling

      Anafyral Weyferling

      Mese fa

      @Knight wtf does p equal n why

    • Priyaveda Janitra

      Priyaveda Janitra

      Mese fa

      Thats what you called a normal distribution

  • Jason Sutherland

    Jason Sutherland

    Mese fa

    This dude is MAD SMART! great content! My daughter and I love watching... IMPECCABLE!

  • 小健

    小健

    Mese fa

    The steel balls stuff is actually so absurd to say it's chaotic, those balls always fall in that shape is because all of the balls falling at the same time. Hence, it's actually not chaotic at all...

  • swag

    swag

    3 giorni fa

    I like how he goes from "hey guys look at these spinning pendulums!!!" To "based off this information, we can make an educated guess on the average populations thoughts and actions through basic statistics." In a one minutes youtube short, and he sounds like the happiest guy in the world ‼️‼️

  • Crazy K

    Crazy K

    Mese fa

    Don't forget some other possible factors like weight of balls pushing down on each other as obstacles are impacted forcing close left and right options to "push" the opposite way and speed of flip over, etc. Still looks neat.

  • Cindy

    Cindy

    Mese fa

    That’s also why people need to rely on large sample studies and not individual anecdotal evidence; their individual case might simply be an outlier.

    • GodVanisher

      GodVanisher

      Mese fa

      @Bat Man You also fall under the category of people who don’t know who controls what and that’s why you just vilify the the rich and mighty people. If you guys actually want to discuss about conspiracy theories then do it correctly. Bill Gates is relatively very poor to some other people. So is Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos etc. Yes, they want to control people, almost everyone wants to do that if they have the chance. But what does vaccinating people have to do with that? There isn’t a single power that everyone in the world obeys to. Especially not China. The companies that own the world are BlackRock and Vanguard Group.

    • mars base

      mars base

      Mese fa

      @justFYImywifeisadoctor I am objective, I support peaceful protest against injustice. The people who looted and set fires were idiots that disgraced something that was positive. That being said, the people who were who were peacefully protesting Trump's loss and didn't raid, although I think they are delusional and denying reality have the right to do so, but the ones who raided have no excuse.

    • Spencer Graham-Thille

      Spencer Graham-Thille

      Mese fa

      I mean, it depends on what you are trying to do.

    • Cindy

      Cindy

      Mese fa

      @Jason Clouse You’re so so good, wow. 😘 🤦🏽‍♀️

    • Jason Clouse

      Jason Clouse

      Mese fa

      @Cindy I don’t think my comment made a dent on your own bias. 😏

  • l’ a m o u r e

    l’ a m o u r e

    Mese fa

    you teach me so much every day. I was completely adamant on not going to post secondary school, but now I want to go to university and learnnnn

  • HearMeRight

    HearMeRight

    Mese fa

    Chaotic actually means sensitivity to intial conditions , but the system must also have topological transitivity and a periodic solution to be chaotic. Only sensitivity to intial conditions isnt enough for chaos

  • The Golden Floof

    The Golden Floof

    Mese fa

    When you dropped the double pendulum when it was dark, it’s so satisfying watching it fit with the music. 😌

  • Ask to seduce Miss

    Ask to seduce Miss

    Mese fa

    Emerging patterns from smaller seemingly chaotic particules. One of the most fascinating things in the world for me.

  • Jaxon Evax

    Jaxon Evax

    Mese fa

    The most profound part of this for me. Is a predictability of human beings as a chaotic system. Blew my mind

    • Emil V.

      Emil V.

      Mese fa

      The most profound part of this is me. Me, myself, and I.

    • False-Positives the Controller of Oversight

      False-Positives the Controller of Oversight

      Mese fa

      Veronica Mancinelli upon more and more sub headlines

    • False-Positives the Controller of Oversight

      False-Positives the Controller of Oversight

      Mese fa

      Veronica Mancinelli btw nowadays those types of models are used to stir up a green revolution. I’ll happy provide someone’s rhetoric. I have a present insight of today’s history

    • False-Positives the Controller of Oversight

      False-Positives the Controller of Oversight

      Mese fa

      Veronica Mancinelli I’m so happy that I’m finding this word in every channel that I’m subscribed to compared to the last 2 years

    • Axileus

      Axileus

      Mese fa

      @juggernautjigsaw99 that’s only after observing a lot of behavior, not general human behavior.

  • Sarah Stewart

    Sarah Stewart

    6 giorni fa

    I love that I understood this, I’m taking AP statistics and it’s super interesting so I’m actually learning stuff

  • Pattern of Randomness

    Pattern of Randomness

    Mese fa

    Love it! Social statistics and planning is awesome.

  • JustAnotherHuman

    JustAnotherHuman

    Mese fa

    This has actually helped a lot with understanding stats

  • Matt Wilson

    Matt Wilson

    Mese fa

    Wow that last piece of information is pretty crazy , ive thought this before, a system that can predict future events of a population

  • Ruckso Clown

    Ruckso Clown

    Mese fa

    “It can be impossible to determine what any person will do, but one can (with precision) determine what the *average* person will do”

    • fahad alenezi

      fahad alenezi

      Mese fa

      When you are young you want to be special When you get older you just want to be simple

    • Ryan Bissonnette

      Ryan Bissonnette

      Mese fa

      @Marcus But they are!

    • KStar

      KStar

      Mese fa

      @topher lee no single person is the average. Average is an emergent property of many singular things

    • Victor Hurwitz

      Victor Hurwitz

      Mese fa

      P. T. Barnum in a nutshell to some extent.

    • topher lee

      topher lee

      Mese fa

      @Marcus ergo, on average, a person likely does not want to be average according to this.. hard to beat science I know

  • Henry Jackson

    Henry Jackson

    8 giorni fa

    The double pendulum is so effective to show the butterfly effect too. If you move the starting point by even the tiniest amount, it will have vastly different results

  • Mathijs Rikken

    Mathijs Rikken

    Mese fa

    Finally a shorts video that actually teaches legit knowledge lol.

  • [ P e r s e p h o n e ]

    [ P e r s e p h o n e ]

    Mese fa

    I dont know if this applies or relates... It's about probability though, and this video reminded me of an experiment we did in like... 5th grad (2005) where the whole class of about 15-25 people were given coins and asked to flip them something like... 50 times, maybe 100 times each, and to write down the results of if it was heads or tails. When we were done, we tallied up everyone's results and it was a fairly high number (something in the 10 thousands) for tails. Then we tallied up the results for heads, and it was an exact even ratio. The whole experiment ended up being 50/50. The teacher was so excited because the whole point of the experiment was to show how, for example, the higher number of tries between something that is 50/50, the more likelihood that all those tries will add up to 50/50.

    If anyone wants to correct my language here, or better and more coherently explain what I'm trying to say, I would greatly appreciate it and I would not take offense at all.

  • Blueberry

    Blueberry

    Mese fa

    My friend, you did it! You actually fucking did it! You managed to get me to not remain the harbinger of death towards anything statistics related. You Sir, are the epitome of a Hero! /bow /clap
    /cheer

  • G

    G

    Mese fa

    It's not really chaotic though. The steel balls fall through a small hole with a pattern of blockades that lend to them mostly falling in the middle and progressively falling less so to the sides of the middle.

  • Ricardo Naberegny

    Ricardo Naberegny

    Mese fa

    Beautiful, gauss curve. There is a chance, albeit a very, very small one, that only the side columns will be filled. it would probably need to rotate trillions of times.

  • Mukuna Ngalamulume

    Mukuna Ngalamulume

    Mese fa

    Democracy hinted...Mind control implicitly explained. Love it!!!

  • Daniel

    Daniel

    26 giorni fa

    I have my issues with the Gault board. Is it really random, when all the balls start at on spot? Sure the most of them will end up in the middle, because that's where they started. If they would start at the right corner, most likely they the curve would be shifted to the right. Nothing random about that.

  • Astha Yadav

    Astha Yadav

    Mese fa

    My father used to say something philosophical based off this:
    "No matter the individual choices, in the end, few end up on the extremes of anything. Money, power, status, hard work, talent or anything. The most crowd is always in the average."
    He proceeded to give examples of coming to school, few reach half or an hour earlier, few reach half n hour later, many just make it and most arrive 5-10 mins before. No matter how less, there is always a possibility of extreme happenings.

    • The Bush

      The Bush

      Mese fa

      Some individual choices can be pretty impactful. You could call it a catalyst choice, where a person's choice affect the choices of others, leading to a completely different probability, changing the average

    • Belladonna High

      Belladonna High

      Mese fa

      @I once killed A man with my shoe In conclusion, every sphere of life has been politicized, private or public. So now you can always claim someone's doing something because their politics told them so.

    • Belladonna High

      Belladonna High

      Mese fa

      @I once killed A man with my shoe Those protest organizers can be sued as well and I hope he does that. Every lying scumbag politician and every celebrity, media personalities, everyone. He won the battle on the streets of Kenosha and in the court, now the real war has only started, a war in which he's the Goliath and the rest are David, only this time David will be promptly crushed. But David will try to do the same to Kim Potter. And the trial already has been tainted.

    • Belladonna High

      Belladonna High

      Mese fa

      @I once killed A man with my shoe Same with Rittenhouse's and now Potter's trial. This is not justice, far from it, you have jurors and the judge being intimidated. Rittenhouse was found not guilty yet the college attendees to which Kyle used to go organized a protest, in which they go on a racist tirade, even though Kyle stopped attending it two days prior. In fact he won't even have to attend to any college, the defamation lawsuits will earn him more than enough to not have to work for the rest of his and his family's life and several generations after our miserable lives end.

    • Belladonna High

      Belladonna High

      Mese fa

      @I once killed A man with my shoeSame for your highly politicized trials. There was no justice in Chauvin's case, only one political group getting what it wants, especially when a congresswoman comes to the place, where the trial is held, and incites people to destroy, burn and loot more if they don't get their way. Jurors weren't even sequestered, and then they gave interviews in which they basically admit they were intimidated, which should result in a mistrial with prejudice.

  • Koho lint

    Koho lint

    Mese fa

    “Life -uh…. Finds a way…”

    • Elijah Holford

      Elijah Holford

      Mese fa

      I’m dead 😂😂

  • Living Soule

    Living Soule

    Mese fa

    Even though the universe might seem like it was formed by appearing from nothing, into a space that already existed from nothing, and exploded in a chaotic big bang caused by nothing…it really was actually created.

  • Aaron Evans

    Aaron Evans

    Mese fa

    Does this still work same if you drop one steal ball at a time? I hypothesize the steal balls are bouncing off each other and stopping them from spreading out. Thoughts 💭?

  • Johnny Smithley

    Johnny Smithley

    Mese fa

    Crazy thing was, the middle had more steel balls then the slots that was on the outside, probably cuz it was faster for the balls to drop straight then go all the way on the ends, but I get what you mean

  • GrandSupremeDaddyo

    GrandSupremeDaddyo

    Mese fa

    That's why Youtube makes seemingly stupid decisions such as removing dislikes. An individual knows it's stupid, but YT knows it will sway the views of a portion of the masses.

    • Dr Jonesey

      Dr Jonesey

      Mese fa

      @M Geller Yeah but see that just makes it worse for YT. Us that know why they took away the dislikes are just going to inform others who don't know or they will hear about it and start to hear what other people are saying about it which will become the Main Street thought in their mind about why they removed the dislike button. So they actually make it worse for themselves by doing actions like this. Let's not forget even though the average person does follow the masses when they perceive that a new opinion is becoming the primary mainstream thought they will think about it and possibly change their mind. Especially due to the fact that people are seeing the dislikes on certain ideas on videos so when they wonder why they hear someone says oh it's because they want to hide certain things, that gives credibility to those who say it.

    • Willy 32

      Willy 32

      Mese fa

      Only because they have almost complete control of this medium of entertainment. There are very few competitors, and whenever a new similar form comes out like TikTok or Twitch, they just copy their formula and pay ITloadrs more money to do so. It's a perfect system, and ITloadrs are a slave to it...they know what the algorithm favors. Hell I remember when ITloadrs thought they were so clever for figuring out the algorithm 😂, only to realize later that was ITload's intentions for them to Feed the algorithm, ie how they prefer content is made.

    • Jaydoc Haywalker

      Jaydoc Haywalker

      Mese fa

      Yes. I had same thoughts!

    • Stephen B

      Stephen B

      Mese fa

      @George Brantley EXACTLY.

    • WaterspoutsOfTheDeep

      WaterspoutsOfTheDeep

      Mese fa

      @George Brantley This isn't an argument of technicalities I commented from.

  • Wojciech Czaderna

    Wojciech Czaderna

    22 giorni fa

    I wonder if prime numbers could be "solved" one day meaning that in the chaos/irregular appearance there could be found a pattern (Riemann hypothesis?)

  • dananskidolf

    dananskidolf

    Mese fa

    For anyone wanting to read more, the emergence of the normal (gaussian) distribution in many large-population systems is called Central Limit Theorem. The steel balls are a nice visualisation of this.

  • serry ciok

    serry ciok

    Mese fa

    Most beautiful way of explaining basics statistical concepts I’ve ever encountered. wonderful work ma boy

  • bilinas mini

    bilinas mini

    Mese fa

    There's some term I've hears of that this reminds me of; basically that a couple of simple rules will give rise to a complex system that grows off of those initial rules.

  • krishnanand tiwari

    krishnanand tiwari

    Mese fa

    Predictable Chaos is also applicable in public participation events like Markets demand and supply OR to be the very specific stock market as explained in Dow Theory

    • Mr Banana808

      Mr Banana808

      Mese fa

      @Neon Demon u the 🤡 buddy

    • Neon Demon

      Neon Demon

      Mese fa

      @Bat Man 🤡

    • Girtis Holland

      Girtis Holland

      Mese fa

      aka #shib

    • Bat Man

      Bat Man

      Mese fa

      And participation in taking vaccines. Through great market research, propaganda and coercion. Vaccine sales have reached the predicted target of 95% of the population. Through freedom of choice sales would have been only 30% with good marketing up to 70% but with grest coercion tactics, the 95% sales target has been hit. I don't know the expected sales targets for boosters. But I know the vaccines companies are placing orders with governments for 100% population coverage with governments taking the losses when the consumption rate is less than perfect 👌 predictable humanity. So easy to control by fear and propaganda

    • PJ Rivera

      PJ Rivera

      Mese fa

      Bingo, finding the pattern where there seems to he none

  • Amini moose

    Amini moose

    Mese fa

    There's some term I've hears of that this reminds me of; basically that a couple of simple rules will give rise to a complex system that grows off of those initial rules.

  • Yaw Yeboah-Kankam

    Yaw Yeboah-Kankam

    Mese fa

    The data from the Galton board would be more accurate if each of the hundreds of balls were dropped individually and documented for their average instead of all being dropped all at once. They end up knocking into each other and effecting the results

  • dolita windo

    dolita windo

    Mese fa

    Most beautiful way of explaining basics statistical concepts I’ve ever encountered. wonderful work ma boy

  • Neuro

    Neuro

    Mese fa

    Bell curves apply to people too. When separating between demographic groups the majority of the bell curve overlaps but the far tail ends do not.

  • Ronoma

    Ronoma

    Mese fa

    Does this also explains why everything in a molecular level is super complicated while every object it forms can be easily explained?

    • T _ T

      T _ T

      Mese fa

      me as a nano student : yeah, our study is chaos for sure

    • Username

      Username

      Mese fa

      Yes, nature is probabilistic in atomic level. Big objects look deterministic and simple but are made of undeterministic components.

  • O Cali

    O Cali

    Mese fa

    yup this is beautiful. You can see such patterns in something as chaotic as stock price movement

  • Gears Primed

    Gears Primed

    Mese fa

    The pendulum could be considered chaotic but it's chaotic in one stuck spot, however the Ball & Pegs can be called chaotic but it's truly a Controlled Chaos or Controlled Order, since you can put the balls to the right most will fall on the right, you put them on the left and most will fall on the left, it's controlled, but drop the balls on the floor with no pegs in the way let's see where they go, now that would be a chaos theory or random chaos.

  • Torfinn Johnsrud

    Torfinn Johnsrud

    Mese fa

    This is a good explanation for fluid mechanics. Navier Stokes completely describes fluid flow, but starting and boundary conditions make them impossible to solve.

  • Crystal Dragon

    Crystal Dragon

    Mese fa

    This is like another level to science. Pseudo almost, or metascientific (i don't know how else to put it). I've never really considered how statistics work aside from numbers, but this has proven a physical constant to statistics (at least in my mind). Thank you for this.

  • James Cruz

    James Cruz

    5 giorni fa

    Hope I’m not wrong about this. Just learned something like the Galton Board in my AP Stats class. The Central Limit Theorem states that if a sample is of a high enough size (the sweet spot is 30+), the distribution is roughly normal.

  • O W

    O W

    Mese fa

    I’d love to see someone flip one of those board and it’s the opposite to a bell curve, like it’s possible but very low odds

  • Garrett Jones

    Garrett Jones

    Mese fa

    So would rolling dice be considered random or chaotic (since theoretically you could make a device that throws the dice the same exact way every time)

    • Uncensored

      Uncensored

      21 giorno fa

      Why don't you throw them a bunch of times and find out lol

  • M Peña

    M Peña

    Mese fa

    I said it before and I’ll say it again… This is the best channel on YouTube.

  • CruxCapacitor

    CruxCapacitor

    Mese fa

    This leaves out a lot about chaos though. Specifically chaos theory, which shows that there are limits to our ability to make predictions in any complex system. The limits of our measurements mean no matter how accurate those measurements are (within realistic, finite limits), over a long enough distance errors will compound.

    Sure, we can predict within reasonable odds what a large crowd will do in the near future, but can we predict what they'll do two weeks from now?

    • Herscher 12

      Herscher 12

      Mese fa

      @Gravity Is Wrong but if you could know every variable e.g. in a simulation

    • Gravity Is Wrong

      Gravity Is Wrong

      Mese fa

      @Herscher 12 Absolutely not. Randomness in a system is, by definition, a collection of unknown variables. You cannot know all the variables. Ever. That’s the whole point.

    • EnduringArts

      EnduringArts

      Mese fa

      @Bat Man then there's the law of diminishing returns. For example, a large minority would not take the shot, then another portion only got 1 shot, then another only get two, the another only got 1 booster. You are left with a smaller and smaller group of compliant people as time goes on... It ultimately fails. They may have done their research but they ultimately screwed up and will wind up hanging for their crimes against humanity. You can see their desperation showing with more and more authoritarian controls that are being ignored by the people.

    • Herscher 12

      Herscher 12

      Mese fa

      @Gravity Is Wrong so you agree that, if we had a closed system and knew all the variables we could predict everything that will happen in this closed system?

    • Gravity Is Wrong

      Gravity Is Wrong

      Mese fa

      @Herscher 12 I think the issue is a misunderstanding of the term random. Randomness is a unitless overlay we apply to a system to describe unpredictable variances. It’s the heart of statistical modeling and control. We maximize the probability of a desired outcome by controlling the variables we know in respect to the constants we know. Outside of those known variables there is another set of variables that we do not know. As we don’t know then we can’t measure or control them. As unknowns they lack a description, so we use random as a catch all for them. As we learn more we are able to measure and describe a previously unknown variable and give it a name and predict its behavior. But until then it’s random. I’m not sure what you’re on about with quantum mechanics, but we don’t need to get anywhere close to that scale to treat randomness. Merely existing creates a huge quantity of randomness and that randomness increases with the duration of that existence. The randomness begets more randomness. It’s a good thing. The minute we believe randomness has been eliminated is the minute we stop learning.

  • Just your average person

    Just your average person

    19 giorni fa

    I actually knew this one, very interesting concept.

  • Arnie Johnson

    Arnie Johnson

    Mese fa

    Curious what the ' bell curve' would look like if the mass of the tiny balls were started at the left or right. I suspect it's just gravity

  • Lucas Poser

    Lucas Poser

    Mese fa

    One of my favorite lines from Chaos was something like „Chaos is just an order we don‘t understand yet.“

  • sehhi vooty

    sehhi vooty

    28 giorni fa

    One of my favorite lines from Chaos was something like „Chaos is just an order we don‘t understand yet.“

  • Jared R

    Jared R

    Mese fa

    This is one of the most interesting videos I’ve seen in a long time. Thank you for educating me!

  • Thisismental

    Thisismental

    13 giorni fa

    Great video. I also enjoyed the one you did about honey badgers.

  • BFD Mod

    BFD Mod

    Mese fa

    Lets take a moment to appreciate the perfectly timed music in the beginning

  • John Smith

    John Smith

    28 giorni fa

    I disagree on the last couple sentences, especially the one about people: you can predict basic necessities or behaviors based off them but that's about it.
    You won't be able to predict irrational behaviors or unique necessities.

  • YehudiNimol

    YehudiNimol

    Mese fa

    Chaos Theory is cool but also a bit scary. It means that even what we can't predict will be predictable if we knew the exact initial conditions, which makes chaos look a lot like order which we don't understand. It's also what determinism is all about. Humans have initial conditions too.

  • WAPOverdoze

    WAPOverdoze

    Mese fa

    I work for a company that does statistical analysis and each day it amazes me how developers are able to use our software for everyday data manipulation and such. I may not always understand it but when I do, it’s 👌

  • DezCaughtThatBall

    DezCaughtThatBall

    Mese fa

    Good use for that wall ! I wondered what kinds of things you could do with it.

  • Major Sayak Chowdhury

    Major Sayak Chowdhury

    20 giorni fa

    Wonderfully Explained 🙏

  • Southern Berean

    Southern Berean

    18 giorni fa

    You just articulated what I’ve thought all along about groups of people

  • jbw5485

    jbw5485

    Mese fa

    The steel balls absolutely start in the exact same spot at the top center every single time. Of course they’re going to create the inverted triangle every single time.

  • J

    J

    Mese fa

    This is exactly what will be found to be behind the uncertainty in quantum theory

  • Leonardo Ruiz

    Leonardo Ruiz

    Mese fa

    This pretty much sums up the entire universe seeming so random.

  • easyLiving Life

    easyLiving Life

    Mese fa

    I disagree profoundly with the last statement. It ignores one simple fact, which is actually a basic rule of economics- all people are rational. Meaning that the individual choices are not random or chaotic, they are calculated.
    In a fire, most people will run and try to save themselves not because they are #chaotic, but because its rational to want to live.

  • Robin Soto

    Robin Soto

    Mese fa

    Such an amazing and interesting subject

  • HYPO REX

    HYPO REX

    Mese fa

    "Life...uh...finds a way."-Ian Malcolm

    • Izik ._ Inman

      Izik ._ Inman

      Mese fa

      Also petter griffin.

    • Enda Solac 👍🏿

      Enda Solac 👍🏿

      Mese fa

      ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------💜 NUDE.SNAPGIRLS.TODAY/PIIT 💜 CHEK👈👆 THREE IN ONE L...❤❤❤... ITload: THIS IS FINE. THREE IN ONE SOMEONE: SAYS ''HECK''. ITload: BE GONE Life's story is a short journey so have fun before sleeping forever #Чо #эт #делает #на #2 #месте #в #тренде #однако #я #люблю #таких #рыбаков .#垃圾. Megan: ''Hotter'' Hopi: ''Sweeter'' Joonie: ''Cooler'' Yoongi: ''Butter'' Жизнь, как красивая мелодия, только песни перепутались. Megan: "Hotter" Hopi: "Sweeter" Joonie: "Cooler" Yoongi: "Butter" . ライブ配信の再編ありがとうです!この日のライブ配信は、かならりやばかったですね!1万人を超える人が見ていたもんね(笑)やっぱり人参最高!まさかのカメラ切り忘れでやら1かしたのもドキドキでした!今後は気を付けないとね. . !💖🖤❤️#今後は気をライブ配信の再編ありがとうです!#この日のライブ配信は、#かならりやばかったですね!#1万人を超える人が見ていたもん(#笑)#やっぱり人参最高!#まさかのカメラ切り忘れでやら1かしたのもドキドキでした #今後は気をライブ配信の再編ありがとうです!#この日のライブ配信は、#かならりやばかったですね! #1万人を超える人が見ていたもん(#笑)#やっぱり人参最高! #まさかのカメラ切り忘れでやら1かしたのもドキドキでした #垃圾 今後は気をライブ配信の再編ありがとうです!この日のライブ配信は、かならりやばかったですね!1万人を超える人が見ていたもん(笑)やっぱり人参最高!まさかのカメラ切り忘れでやら1かしたのもドキドキでした,. 💖🖤在整個人類歷史上,強者,富人和具有狡猾特質的人捕食部落,氏族,城鎮,城市和鄉村中的弱者,無`'守和貧窮成員。然而,人類的生存意願迫使那sfdsd些被拒絕,被剝奪或摧毀的基本需求的人們找到了一種生活方式,並繼續將其DNA融入不斷發展的人類社會。. 說到食物,不要以為那些被拒絕的人只吃垃圾。相反,他們學會了在被忽視的肉類和蔬菜中尋找營養。他們學會了清潔,切塊,調味和慢燉慢燉的野菜和肉類,在食品``

    • sal o

      sal o

      Mese fa

      I think that was peter griffin

    • Art_1601

      Art_1601

      Mese fa

      @atmatey 😂 broo

    • JustAGitGudGuy

      JustAGitGudGuy

      Mese fa

      says the isle's experimental rex

  • Cmac 613

    Cmac 613

    Mese fa

    That was one of the best shorts I have watched lately.

  • Four Lights Orchestra

    Four Lights Orchestra

    Mese fa

    There’s something great about seeing this in action, but also a little terrifying to see what power there is to wield if you know how to predict the outcome of chaos. How do you break free of prediction I wonder?

  • paul hindle

    paul hindle

    7 giorni fa

    Interesting fact: politicians use a similar model to predict the reaction/behaviour of citizens when it comes to tax raising and other shady shit they do. If the risk is too high, they change something.

  • Jonathan Mcclellan

    Jonathan Mcclellan

    Mese fa

    Precisely why analytical statistics was my favorite class in grad school!

  • Kartzzy

    Kartzzy

    Mese fa

    And this is exactly the thing that boggles my brain and makes me want to delve into it. That and the fact of percentages. I cannot accept that something that happened had only let's a .03 chance of happening but it happened. That means that the .03% wasn't correct because it happened and cannot unhappen so it had a 100% chance of happening

  • Tuskan Sun

    Tuskan Sun

    Mese fa

    For anyone wondering the curve is used in A LOT of statistic problems and is called the normal distribution curve which is symmetrical and used to find areas/ distance between cut offs called z (or sometimes t scores) a z score is just the distance of standard deviations away from the true mean (the middle)

  • Tee Shark

    Tee Shark

    Mese fa

    I predict that more than half the people that watch this video on a loop, still do not understand what it actually means. Additionally, out of the half that gets it and the half that don't... nearly all will enjoy the video!

  • Jewel Wildmoon

    Jewel Wildmoon

    Mese fa

    Oh crap I think I could actually use this in assignments as one of the factors that can be observed from a survey among a large group of people

  • Sophia Alexander

    Sophia Alexander

    Mese fa

    i think its so cool that when you draw pascals triangle on a galton board, the number on each peg tells you the exact amount of ways the ball can get to that point